Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000981 0.001112 0.001249 0.001405 0.001575 0.001755 0.001960
2025-03-09 0.000745 0.000923 0.001122 0.001360 0.001637 0.001946 0.002315
2025-03-16 0.000617 0.000811 0.001039 0.001324 0.001666 0.002061 0.002548
2025-03-23 0.000533 0.000741 0.000994 0.001321 0.001726 0.002207 0.002815
2025-03-30 0.000470 0.000685 0.000958 0.001320 0.001782 0.002343 0.003068
2025-04-06 0.000413 0.000631 0.000917 0.001308 0.001819 0.002453 0.003287
2025-04-13 0.000361 0.000579 0.000872 0.001285 0.001837 0.002536 0.003471
2025-04-20 0.000335 0.000558 0.000867 0.001313 0.001920 0.002701 0.003761
2025-04-27 0.000308 0.000534 0.000857 0.001330 0.001988 0.002847 0.004030
2025-05-04 0.000276 0.000498 0.000825 0.001316 0.002011 0.002933 0.004219
2025-05-11 0.000244 0.000461 0.000788 0.001292 0.002018 0.002996 0.004378
2025-05-18 0.000227 0.000444 0.000780 0.001307 0.002079 0.003132 0.004636
2025-05-25 0.000209 0.000425 0.000768 0.001317 0.002134 0.003262 0.004891
2025-06-01 0.000182 0.000389 0.000727 0.001281 0.002120 0.003296 0.005016
2025-06-08 0.000159 0.000356 0.000688 0.001244 0.002103 0.003324 0.005130
2025-06-15 0.000145 0.000338 0.000671 0.001242 0.002135 0.003422 0.005344
2025-06-22 0.000132 0.000321 0.000657 0.001241 0.002170 0.003524 0.005563
2025-06-29 0.000119 0.000302 0.000636 0.001230 0.002187 0.003599 0.005746
2025-07-06 0.000106 0.000281 0.000611 0.001208 0.002187 0.003646 0.005889
2025-07-13 0.000101 0.000277 0.000614 0.001234 0.002262 0.003809 0.006200
2025-07-20 0.000094 0.000269 0.000612 0.001251 0.002323 0.003950 0.006483
2025-07-27 0.000085 0.000253 0.000592 0.001237 0.002334 0.004015 0.006655
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000236 0.000569 0.001214 0.002328 0.004054 0.006789